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  • 2010 |
    Chopper POSTED ON December 9 2010 BY Keith Springer IN 2010 Smart Money Newsletter More stimulus and no new taxes are music for investor s ears There were two major announcements this week that will add fuel to the stock market s fire On this week s 60 minutes Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Read More ben bernanke bill gross bond vigilantes bush tax cuts eu obama QE2 Becoming a Fan of QEII What an Opportunity 6 Steps on How to Play it POSTED ON December 2 2010 BY Keith Springer IN 2010 Smart Money Newsletter The more I think about the government s recent quantitative easing program the more I like it What CEO would not want to take advantage of record low interest rates to borrow money that would generate increased growth Read More Market Update Playing with Bubbles POSTED ON November 19 2010 BY Keith Springer IN 2010 Smart Money Newsletter As the Fed gives us the gift of yet another bubble investors need to know how to capitalize on this short term phenomenon and how to prepare for the inevitable burst Who wouldn t give a buffalo nickel to Read More 1 2 7 Next 4480 DUCKHORN DRIVE SACRAMENTO CA 95834 916 925 8900 INFO KEITHSPRINGER COM Get Your FREE Customized Retirement Income Analysis 2015 Springer Financial Advisors 4480 Duckhorn Drive Sacramento CA 95834 916 925 8900 Springer Insurance Solutions CA License 0G11958 Springer Financial Advisors Advisor is a federally registered investment adviser located in Sacramento California Advisor and its representatives are in compliance with the current filing requirements imposed upon registered investment advisers by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the State of California Advisor s web site and its emails of general distribution are limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services together with access to additional investment related information publications and links Accordingly the publication of Advisor s web site on the Internet or dissemination of informational emails should not be construed by any consumer and or prospective client as Advisor s solicitation to effect or attempt to effect transactions in securities or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation over the Internet A copy of Advisor s current written disclosure statement discussing Advisor s business operations services and fees is available from Advisor upon written request You may also obtain publicly available information about Advisor through the SEC website as follows http www adviserinfo sec gov IAPD Content Search iapd OrgSearch aspx Advisor does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy timeliness suitability completeness or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third party whether linked to Advisor s web site or incorporated in an email and takes no responsibility therefore All such information is believed to be reliable and authoritative but does not constitute sufficient information to be the sole basis for sound investment decisions and all users thereof should be guided accordingly Past performance may not be indicative of future results Therefore

    Original URL path: http://www.keithspringer.info/category/critical-economic-and-market-commentary/2010/#wpcf7-f9736-o1 (2016-05-01)
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  • Upside Is Brighter | Stock Market Update | Smart Money Newsletter |
    it will take 5 6 years from now for the U S economy to return to a growth employment and inflation level consistent with the Fed s objectives 2 Don t fight the tape The market keeps climbing that wall of worry Don t over think it 3 Pessimism is rampant Even after the recent rise in stocks investor sentiment figures remain unbelievably low Too many people think that it s Just obvious the market must go down Well if it s obvious it s obviously wrong At the moment it is hard for everyone including me to see the forest for the trees and it is taking great discipline structure and every bit of my 25 years of experience in this business to look past the obvious and see the opportunities in the markets Certainly don t throw caution to the wind as these problems will eventually overrun the markets and there will be a time to be out of this market Every investor must have an exit strategy The best way to play it is stick with our total return strategy Double digit yields capital appreciation and downside protection What more could a reasonable investor want Bookmark on Delicious Digg this post Recommend on Facebook Share on Linkedin share via Reddit Share with Stumblers Tweet about it Subscribe to the comments on this post Print for later Bookmark in Browser Tell a friend 4480 DUCKHORN DRIVE SACRAMENTO CA 95834 916 925 8900 INFO KEITHSPRINGER COM Get Your FREE Customized Retirement Income Analysis 2015 Springer Financial Advisors 4480 Duckhorn Drive Sacramento CA 95834 916 925 8900 Springer Insurance Solutions CA License 0G11958 Springer Financial Advisors Advisor is a federally registered investment adviser located in Sacramento California Advisor and its representatives are in compliance with the current filing requirements imposed upon registered investment advisers by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the State of California Advisor s web site and its emails of general distribution are limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services together with access to additional investment related information publications and links Accordingly the publication of Advisor s web site on the Internet or dissemination of informational emails should not be construed by any consumer and or prospective client as Advisor s solicitation to effect or attempt to effect transactions in securities or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation over the Internet A copy of Advisor s current written disclosure statement discussing Advisor s business operations services and fees is available from Advisor upon written request You may also obtain publicly available information about Advisor through the SEC website as follows http www adviserinfo sec gov IAPD Content Search iapd OrgSearch aspx Advisor does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy timeliness suitability completeness or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third party whether linked to Advisor s web site or incorporated in an email and takes no responsibility therefore All such information is believed to

    Original URL path: http://www.keithspringer.info/critical-economic-and-market-commentary-120909/ (2016-05-01)
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  • 2004 Election | Stock Market Divided | Smart Money Newsletter |
    lasted almost twenty nine months With the Fed keeping rates artificially low there is an enormous amount of liquidity available which is critical In very simple terms the two most important things for investing is don t fight the tape and don t fight the fed Is this another bubble in the making Almost certainly I discuss this bubble in my September 11th Market Update Building another bubble it s a Hubba Bubba nightmare Click the link to read http www keithspringer com weekly commentary 091109 htm For the immediate term the market looks strong and heading higher However the rally is beginning to show signs of aging Over the last few months we have been seeing the shift from small caps to large caps which is typical of the latter stages More recently over the past few weeks the DJI S P 500 and NY Comp Index have been advancing to new highs on lower volume while breadth and momentum indicators have shown signs of increasingly selective strength This puts the rally into phase 2 a much more selective and dangerous environment for investors but not one to avoid as long as you hold the proper investments That said every investor must have an exit strategy as there will definitely be a time to go to cash For the longer term the demographic cycle of the aging baby boomer which is turning from net spender to net saver is the biggest obstacle This is a natural demographic cycle that happens every 40 years or so but the government seems to have a short memory while the people even shorter I suppose if it s not an election year problem it s not a problem This is precisely what Japan experienced throughout the 1990s and 2000s The Land of the Rising Sun has yet to recover from its credit bubble of the late 1980s and the country s aging demographics virtually insure that it will linger for some time This is what a modern day depression looks like The economy does not tumble year after year it stalls out It contracts by say a percent or two one year then returns to tepid growth for a year or two before falling into contraction again and again I discuss the long term economic forecast and the current demographic situation in depth in my landmark special report An Economic Tsunami Lies Ahead which is as pertinent today s as when it was first published For a complimentary copy click the link ET Link reply back or give me a call We now have it in pdf format so it can be emailed to you The reality of the situation is that both sides are right Just like Viagra the stimulus can t last forever but it can make for a very fun and productive now So in conclusion and pertaining to the 2004 election the Bears win the popular vote while the Bulls get the electoral vote Bookmark on Delicious Digg this

    Original URL path: http://www.keithspringer.info/critical-economic-and-market-commentary-120309/ (2016-05-01)
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  • How To Invest In This Market | Smart Money Newsletter | Keith Springer |
    in the company s management strategy and financial position In fact every portfolio should be managed tactically Preferred stocks have always been a favorite as they are senior to common equity but offer much more attractive yields Currently there are still many good ones paying well over 8 to 10 For taxable accounts MLPs are incredibly attractive MLP s are publicly traded energy partnerships that trade on major exchanges and offer an opportunity to maximize income because they are required to return all profits to unit holders Since most MLPs operate oil and gas infrastructure such as pipelines processing plants and storage tanks they are also attractive as investments in the underlying hard assets owned by the MLPs MLPs also have huge tax advantages especially for high net worth individuals as the dividends are generally 85 tax free Considering the possible capital appreciation and the yields which are between 8 and 12 these are hard to beat And last but not least bonds are still very attractive Some Tax free municipals look good but be very very selective The real pop is in corporate bonds with excellent yields just recently with 10 for under 2 years In the world we live in today the greatest long term risks to an income oriented investor are rising interest rates and inflation which erode the relative value of the income stream As much as the Fed insists monetary policy will remain accommodative for the foreseeable future upward pressure on interest rates will likely continue especially in light of the growing federal deficit and accompanying inflation fears Therefore stay very short with your bonds That is where the biggest bang for the buck is anyway Protect yourself Tactical management is the key to reducing this impact of inflation and protecting principal and income over the long term Regards Keith Springer Bookmark on Delicious Digg this post Recommend on Facebook Share on Linkedin share via Reddit Share with Stumblers Tweet about it Subscribe to the comments on this post Print for later Bookmark in Browser Tell a friend 4480 DUCKHORN DRIVE SACRAMENTO CA 95834 916 925 8900 INFO KEITHSPRINGER COM Get Your FREE Customized Retirement Income Analysis 2015 Springer Financial Advisors 4480 Duckhorn Drive Sacramento CA 95834 916 925 8900 Springer Insurance Solutions CA License 0G11958 Springer Financial Advisors Advisor is a federally registered investment adviser located in Sacramento California Advisor and its representatives are in compliance with the current filing requirements imposed upon registered investment advisers by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the State of California Advisor s web site and its emails of general distribution are limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services together with access to additional investment related information publications and links Accordingly the publication of Advisor s web site on the Internet or dissemination of informational emails should not be construed by any consumer and or prospective client as Advisor s solicitation to effect or attempt to effect transactions in securities or the rendering

    Original URL path: http://www.keithspringer.info/critical-economic-and-market-commentary-november-18-2009/ (2016-05-01)
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  • Obviously Wrong | Smart Money Newsletter | Keith Springer |
    at a 90 reading Leading indicators pointing higher and most importantly that wall of worry keeping most cautious we would expect the market to have more of a pause than the next major down leg in this secular bear market History also shows that major market declines such as 1929 32 1969 70 1973 74 2000 2003 or 2007 2009 and the major economic contractions that usually follow have developed after long periods of rising equity prices after the Wall of Worry has been long forgotten the news is virtually all positive and investor enthusiasm for stocks has been fully satiated And that gradual exhaustion of buying has always left behind tracks that are visible to those who look for them such as a four to six month negative divergence between the Advance Decline Lines and the major price indexes a six to twelve month negative divergence between New 52 week Highs and the major price indexes and a steady erosion in Buying Power accompanied with many months of sharply rising Selling Pressure These signs of a major weakening of Demand and a major expansion of Supply have been present before important market tops with somewhat the same constancy as shorter days colder nights and the changing of the leaves precedes the onset of winter No one can know with accuracy how long the current market advance will last but past experience shows that paying attention to the Wall of Worry is usually a mistake Rather investors should closely monitor the forces of Supply and Demand watching for the signs of strength that accompany sustained market advances and watching for the warning signs of weakness that typically emerge months in advance of important market declines Currently the Selling Pressure Index was at a 12 month low suggesting that the recent pickup in selling is characteristic of a short term correction And as I previously discussed last week since the Selling Pressure index has not yet increased enough from its Oct 14th low the market could still very likely be in the First Stage the Primary Buying Zone In addition none of the warning signs discussed above that typically precedes major market tops are currently in evidence For example none of the Adv Dec Lines are reflecting even a small divergence with the major price indexes Of course the trend can change quickly The current correction is begging the question of whether this advance is over or just a correction and the recent expansion in Selling Pressure and contraction in Buying Power also suggest the potential for a further correction We haven t seen a 10 correction during this entire run and a major but normal correction could serve to be a strong launching point for the next leg up or scare enough people into selling early causing a meltdown Emotionally most think it will be a meltdown Technically it appears to be a standard correction Regards Keith Springer Bookmark on Delicious Digg this post Recommend on Facebook Share on Linkedin

    Original URL path: http://www.keithspringer.info/critical-economic-and-market-commentary-october-27-2009/ (2016-05-01)
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  • Crowded Party | Smart Money Newsletter | Keith Springer |
    have been in the buy zone which has kept us positive but on high alert for evidence of a change Although not giving up yet evidence of a short term correction has been building that could end the Primary Buying Zone In addition to the increased investor bullishness technical strength seems is beginning to wane as well Buying power has been softening while Selling Pressure has been on the rise A continued rise in selling pressure will confirm that the market is converting from the first stage of the uptrend from the March 09 market low with the Primary Buying Zone coming to an end ushering in the Second Stage the Holding and Upgrading Zone The first stage of the primary uptrend will come to an end and the second stage will begin when the Selling Pressure Index rises 2 to 6 more points During the Holding Upgrading Zone the emphasis should shift from buying stocks to managing the existing portfolio for maximum returns culling out weak stocks at the time of short term sell signals and focusing attention on the strongest portfolio components Investors must recognize that the risk to reward ratio has begun to change It doesn t necessarily mean it has to be drastic but it could This loss of strength seems to coincide well with our expected loss of momentum in the economy which will usher in the next down leg in this bear market What is keeping this rally going This Echo Boom is a temporary bear market rally that is stronger than most because it is being financed by zero interest rates and government handouts Once the subsidiaries stop the consumer has to make up the difference in spending to drive the economy The government is hoping that it can spend long enough to bring back the consumer Unfortunately it is simply not possible The demographics of our aging population point to increased saving and less spending Add in the emotional devastation of two huge losses in one decade and the people cannot and or will not be able to spend This whole discussion of a jobless recovery is hogwash It s not possible It can be masked by government tricks but it s only temporary We were led to believe that the last recovery 2003 2006 was a jobless recovery but it was nothing more than a mirage and look what happened next the economy fell right back and is actually worse You must fix the root of the problem The government can only mask it for so long with cheap money and each time they attempt it the time frame gets shorter Regards Keith Springer Bookmark on Delicious Digg this post Recommend on Facebook Share on Linkedin share via Reddit Share with Stumblers Tweet about it Subscribe to the comments on this post Print for later Bookmark in Browser Tell a friend 4480 DUCKHORN DRIVE SACRAMENTO CA 95834 916 925 8900 INFO KEITHSPRINGER COM Get Your FREE Customized Retirement Income Analysis 2015

    Original URL path: http://www.keithspringer.info/critical-economic-and-market-commentary-october-22-2009/ (2016-05-01)
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  • Dow 10000 | Smart Money Newsletter | Keith Springer |
    me and will be the deathknell of this rally The strong price gains in the major indexes evidently rejuvenated bullishness especially among traders For instance the CBOE equity put call ratio has returned to a series of overbought readings during the past few days This week s report on the level of bullishness of futures traders in the Bullish Consensus poll was somewhat of an eye opener with a reading at 72 bulls The last time a reading over 70 was recorded was in Oct 07 which was clearly not the best time to be bullish However individual investor sentiment is still muted showing that haven t gotten into this market yet What usually happens is the institutional traders get in first then the institutional investors then the individuals That is usually the end as the traders sell to the unsuspecting individuals Yet it can take weeks or months Regards Keith Springer Radio Host of Smart Money with Keith Springer Bookmark on Delicious Digg this post Recommend on Facebook Share on Linkedin share via Reddit Share with Stumblers Tweet about it Subscribe to the comments on this post Print for later Bookmark in Browser Tell a friend 4480 DUCKHORN DRIVE SACRAMENTO CA 95834 916 925 8900 INFO KEITHSPRINGER COM Get Your FREE Customized Retirement Income Analysis 2015 Springer Financial Advisors 4480 Duckhorn Drive Sacramento CA 95834 916 925 8900 Springer Insurance Solutions CA License 0G11958 Springer Financial Advisors Advisor is a federally registered investment adviser located in Sacramento California Advisor and its representatives are in compliance with the current filing requirements imposed upon registered investment advisers by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the State of California Advisor s web site and its emails of general distribution are limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services together with access to additional investment related information publications and links Accordingly the publication of Advisor s web site on the Internet or dissemination of informational emails should not be construed by any consumer and or prospective client as Advisor s solicitation to effect or attempt to effect transactions in securities or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation over the Internet A copy of Advisor s current written disclosure statement discussing Advisor s business operations services and fees is available from Advisor upon written request You may also obtain publicly available information about Advisor through the SEC website as follows http www adviserinfo sec gov IAPD Content Search iapd OrgSearch aspx Advisor does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy timeliness suitability completeness or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third party whether linked to Advisor s web site or incorporated in an email and takes no responsibility therefore All such information is believed to be reliable and authoritative but does not constitute sufficient information to be the sole basis for sound investment decisions and all users thereof should be guided accordingly Past performance may not be indicative of future results Therefore no

    Original URL path: http://www.keithspringer.info/critical-economic-and-market-commentary-october-14-2009/ (2016-05-01)
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  • 2009 | - Part 2
    Read More Critical Economic and Market Commentary September 11 2009 POSTED ON August 24 2010 BY Keith Springer IN 2009 Smart Money Newsletter Posted At September 14 2009 11 27 AM Market Update Building another bubble it s a Hubba Bubba nightmare As I said last week this period will truly go down as one of the biggest paradoxes in financial history The Read More Critical Economic and Market Commentary September 3 2009 POSTED ON August 24 2010 BY Keith Springer IN 2009 Smart Money Newsletter Posted At September 4 2009 1 15 PM Economic Update Indicators look great as long as they work In many respects the economic outlook is becoming much simpler With 70 of GDP coming from consumer spending either the consumer Read More Critical Economic and Market Commentary August 27 2009 POSTED ON August 24 2010 BY Keith Springer IN 2009 Smart Money Newsletter Posted At September 2 2009 2 42 PM Economic Update The recession ends feel any better For all intents and purposes the recession is over statistically that is Between the Cash for Clunkers first time home buying incentives and various Read More Previous 1 2 3 8 Next 4480 DUCKHORN DRIVE SACRAMENTO CA 95834 916 925 8900 INFO KEITHSPRINGER COM Get Your FREE Customized Retirement Income Analysis 2015 Springer Financial Advisors 4480 Duckhorn Drive Sacramento CA 95834 916 925 8900 Springer Insurance Solutions CA License 0G11958 Springer Financial Advisors Advisor is a federally registered investment adviser located in Sacramento California Advisor and its representatives are in compliance with the current filing requirements imposed upon registered investment advisers by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the State of California Advisor s web site and its emails of general distribution are limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services together with access to additional investment related information publications and links Accordingly the publication of Advisor s web site on the Internet or dissemination of informational emails should not be construed by any consumer and or prospective client as Advisor s solicitation to effect or attempt to effect transactions in securities or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation over the Internet A copy of Advisor s current written disclosure statement discussing Advisor s business operations services and fees is available from Advisor upon written request You may also obtain publicly available information about Advisor through the SEC website as follows http www adviserinfo sec gov IAPD Content Search iapd OrgSearch aspx Advisor does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy timeliness suitability completeness or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third party whether linked to Advisor s web site or incorporated in an email and takes no responsibility therefore All such information is believed to be reliable and authoritative but does not constitute sufficient information to be the sole basis for sound investment decisions and all users thereof should be guided accordingly Past performance may not be indicative of future results Therefore no current

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